It is difficult to predict technology more than 10 years out with any certitude, but what I observe is that change and innovation happens earlier and faster than we expect. We are constantly surprised at what technology can do. Jared Cohen More Quotes by Jared Cohen More Quotes From Jared Cohen If you're not creating waves, then you're not pushing enough. Jared Cohen creating pushing motivational The 21st century is a really terrible time to be a control freak. Jared Cohen terrible-times freak century We live in a world where all wars will begin as cyber wars... It's the combination of hacking and massive, well-coordinated disinformation campaigns. Jared Cohen live will cyber world It's not a panacea: there are problems in the world that technology can't fix. You can't fix water shortages. You can't storm a Ministry of the Interior with a cell phone. You can't magically create leaders and institutions overnight. You can't eat it. You can't shield a bullet. Jared Cohen you technology water world The intensity of cyber conflict around the world is increasing, and the tools are becoming cheaper and more readily available. Jared Cohen cyber conflict tools world Since most cyberwar is conducted covertly, governments avoid any public acknowledgment of their own abilities and shy away from engaging in any sort of 'cyber diplomacy.' Statecraft conducted in secret fails to create public norms for deterrence. Jared Cohen own cyber diplomacy shy Cyber weapons won't go away, and their spread can't be controlled. Instead, as we've done for other destructive technologies, the world needs to establish a set of principles to determine the proper conduct of governments regarding cyber conflict. Jared Cohen cyber conflict done world For people involved in pre-meditated crimes, whether it is terrorism or robbery or something else, their use of technology means that they leave a digital trail, and the room for error goes up dramatically. In the future, it will be easier for violent people to make mistakes and get caught before they commit their crimes. Jared Cohen future terrorism technology people Essentially, it's not that technology or cyberspace is some parallel universe that operates tangentially from the world we know; it is simply a new front in the international system. Jared Cohen new universe technology world The big unknown is, at what point is a cyberattack so significant that it warrants a physical-world response. Jared Cohen unknown point big response By definition, transnational crime crosses borders, but efforts to combat it mostly do not. Jared Cohen efforts definition crime borders While the specifics of Russia's interference in the 2016 American election remain unclear, no one doubts that Moscow has built a robust technological arsenal for waging cyberattacks. Jared Cohen american moscow election russia I often say Policy Planning is very analogous to a venture capital firm. A venture capital firm sees an interesting idea and puts money behind it; in Policy Planning, we look for promising ideas and then put contacts and relationships behind it. Jared Cohen behind look money ideas I think, when I wrote 'Children of Jihad,' I wrote it with a very optimistic view of what technology can do. Today I maintain that optimistic view, but I'm also aware of the challenges we have. So I would say I'm not a techno-utopian, but I'm a techno-pragmatist. Jared Cohen technology challenges today children Technology is a tool, and it's a platform. Nobody gets arrested for being a blogger; people get arrested for dissent. Nobody gets arrested for putting information about themselves online; they get arrested for being an activist. I'm a strong believer in the fact that you should not blame the tools; you should blame the circumstances. Jared Cohen you blame technology people I dislike the phrase 'social media.' 'Social media' is merely a way to describe new tools in an old and narrow paradigm where we measure success by how many people are reached. Jared Cohen social-media success people way I think companies need to put up tools that put privacy and security in the hands of their users and make it easy to understand those tools. In Google's case, two-step verification is a perfect example of this. Jared Cohen understand think privacy hands Part of the responsibility of the technology industry is to anticipate the challenges of the vast majority of its future users and proactively start thinking about them now and proactively build products that address those challenges. Jared Cohen future technology challenges thinking I'll say that technology will make revolutions start happening faster, but it'll make them harder to finish. Technology can't create leaders and cause institutions to appear. Jared Cohen say will start technology When people think of digital diplomacy, they think of government tweeting. It is not what it is. That is public diplomacy. Jared Cohen think digital government people
