The ability to calibrate risk doesn't happen rationally. Ian Lustick More Quotes by Ian Lustick More Quotes From Ian Lustick For the U.S., as the largest player in the global environment, unintended consequences are magnified. Ian Lustick global consequences environment Just as a balloon filled gradually with air bursts when the limit of its tensile strength is passed, there are thresholds of radical, disruptive change in politics. When those thresholds are crossed, the impossible suddenly becomes probable, with revolutionary implications for governments and nations. Ian Lustick politics strength change impossible The disappearance of Israel as a Zionist project, through war, cultural exhaustion or demographic momentum, is... plausible... Many Israelis see the demise of the country as not just possible, but probable. Ian Lustick project see war country My academic specialization is Arab-Israel relations. Ian Lustick relations specialization academic Most Israelis have a sense, 'We just don't want to live in the Middle East anymore. We don't want it to be the Middle East. Were going to just build a wall or operate unilaterally' - not try to even use force as used to be the case to convince Arabs to accept Israel by convincing them that Israel is here to stay and then negotiating. Ian Lustick stay live try want Americans should be wary of the Muslim Brothers in Egypt but not scared of them. Ian Lustick muslim them egypt scared Democracies domesticate religious groups to become political players. That's how it works. Ian Lustick players become how political International peace and security depend on certain taboos that are easily recognized when they are broken. It can be more important for an intervention to take place because nuclear or chemical or biological weapons are used as opposed to just measuring how many people are killed. Ian Lustick place broken peace people If you put too much pressure on the Palestinian Authority, it will collapse - it will disappear - and Israel will have to formally re-occupy the West Bank and assume responsibility for the Palestinians there. The United States doesn't want that. Israel doesn't really want that. Ian Lustick will you responsibility pressure There's a good lesson for policymakers: It's not the presence of the U.S. that is a problem for many people in the Arab region; it's the type of presence we bring. Ian Lustick lesson good problem people From a social networking point of view, Pakistan is not very far away. Ian Lustick view networking far-away pakistan I think about terrorism in terms of popcorn. You can't tell which kernels are popcorn and which are not, but you assume you'll always have some kernels that are going to pop. Ian Lustick think you always terrorism Do I trust Yasser Arafat? Of course not. Why should I? Why should anyone trust a politician, whether Shimon Peres, Ariel Sharon, Bill Clinton, Richard Nixon, Lyndon Johnson, Benjamin Netanyahu, George W. Bush, or Yasser Arafat? Ian Lustick why trust politician should Whether we agree with them or not, politicians aren't for trusting. They are for getting done what can be done to make really horrible problems into plain old lousy problems. Ian Lustick politicians old problems done What we have really now is a one-state outcome in which Israel is the one and only state between the Jordan River and the sea. It can do whatever it wants virtually throughout the area. But that's not the kind of a state that's going to be a basis for peace and stability in the region. Ian Lustick river whatever sea peace The fact is that democracy anywhere in the world, including in the United States, is not something that comes easy. And yet, we are committed to it, and equality and democracy are the only ways in the long run that Jews will be safe in the Middle East. Ian Lustick equality democracy long world Most Israelis do want to keep Israel safe. The question is how do you do that. Ian Lustick question how you want As long as Hamas needs the support it could conceivably get from the international community through the Palestinian Authority, it has an interest in playing nice with Fatah. And Fatah has an interest in playing nice with Hamas because it needs some source of legitimacy on the West Bank. Ian Lustick support community nice long The leadership of the Palestinian Authority is not held in high regard by most of the population of the West Bank. They're seen as living relatively high off the hog and certainly not accomplishing anything vis-a-vis the Israelis. Ian Lustick high living authority leadership When people today say 'racism,' they mean it's a nationalism they don't like. Racialism used to be a good thing, a looking-out for what was best for one group... Israel comes out of that 19th-century idea of nationalism. Many Arab states also have preferences. It's fundamentally unfair to decide that one is racism and the others aren't. Ian Lustick best good racism today
