The vicious cycle that is bringing down European states is not going to hit us [the USA], at least not for a while, at the level of the federal government. The same cannot be said of state and local governments. Michael Lewis More Quotes by Michael Lewis More Quotes From Michael Lewis The pleasure of rooting for Goliath is that you can expect to win. The pleasure of rooting for David is that, while you don’t know what to expect, you stand at least a chance of being inspired. Michael Lewis roots winning bible People don't like uncertainty, and their minds are tools for making sense of the world, even when the world is senseless. Michael Lewis tools mind people As idiotic as optimism can sometimes seem, it has a weird habit of paying off. Michael Lewis optimism habit sometimes We aren't natural statisticians. What we are is natural storytelling machines. And so what we do after we have the facts in hand is build a story to explain the facts. Michael Lewis stories hands facts Just because you've been successful and just because you've disrupted an environment, doesn't mean you're a role model or that you actually have anything to teach anybody. There's an awful lot of luck and accident in the world, and maybe you were just on the receiving end of that. Michael Lewis role-models successful mean People dislike uncertainty so much that they will impose an order on it even when it doesn't exist. Michael Lewis uncertainty order people A vast industry of stockbrokers, financial planners, and investment advisers skims a fortune for themselves off the top in exchange for passing their clients' money on to people who, as a whole, cannot possibly outperform the market. Michael Lewis investing clients people When you're trying to create a career as a writer, a little delusional thinking goes a long way. Michael Lewis careers writing thinking People really don't like to hear success explained away as luck — especially successful people. As they age, and succeed, people feel their success was somehow inevitable. They don't want to acknowledge the role played by accident in their lives. There is a reason for this: the world does not want to acknowledge it either. If you use better data, you can find better values; there are always market inefficiencies to exploit, and so on. But it has a broader and less practical message: don't be deceived by life's outcomes. Life's outcomes, while not entirely random, have a huge amount of luck baked into them. Above all, recognize that if you have had success, you have also had luck — and with luck comes obligation. Michael Lewis luck successful people Above all, recognize that if you have had success, you have also had luck — and with luck comes obligation. You owe a debt, and not just to your Gods. You owe a debt to the unlucky. Michael Lewis debt obligation luck A banking system is an act of faith: it survives only for as long as people believe it will. Michael Lewis long believe people A credit default swap was confusing mainly because it wasn't really a swap at all. It was an insurance policy, typically on a corporate bond, with semiannual premium payments and a fixed term. Michael Lewis default credit confusing All that was clear that the profits to be had from smart people making complicated bets overwhelmed anything that could be had from servicing customers, or allocating capital to productive enterprise. Michael Lewis overwhelmed smart people Even as late as the summer of 2006, as home prices began to fall, it took a certain kind of person to see the ugly facts and react to them-to discern, in the profile of the beautiful young lady, the face of an old witch. Michael Lewis summer beautiful fall Those who know don't tell and those who tell don't know. Michael Lewis zen-proverb knows knowledge Wall Street, with its army of brokers, analysts, and advisers funneling trillions of dollars into mutual funds, hedge funds, and private equity funds, is an elaborate fraud. Michael Lewis dollars wall army One absolutely cannot tell, by watching, the difference between a .300 hitter and a .275 hitter. The difference is one hit every two weeks. Michael Lewis week differences two A thought crossed his mind: How do you make poor people feel wealthy when wages are stagnant? You give them cheap loans. Michael Lewis mind giving people The model used by Wall Street to price trillions of dollar's worth of derivatives thought of the financial world as an orderly, continuous process. But the world was not continuous; it changed discontinuously, and often by accident. Michael Lewis derivatives wall world Girls tend to attribute their failures to factors such as lack of ability, while boys tend to attribute failure to specific factors, including teachers' attitudes. Moreover, girls avoid situations in which failure is likely, whereas boys approach such situations as a challenge, indicating that failure differentially affects self-esteem. Michael Lewis girl attitude teacher
