Andrew Hunter

We still think it is slightly more likely than not that the trade dispute with China will ultimately escalate further.

Certain Russian weapon systems are seen as inherently threatening to the United States regardless of who is operating them and for what purpose, because Turkey is not just an F-35 purchaser, but an industrial partner, blocking delivery of these systems represents a major escalation by the United States as it threatens to impose serious costs on both sides.

With the fiscal stimulus into the mix we think inflation, wage growth, and core inflation are going to rise steadily over the next couple of years. That will prompt the Fed to raise interest rates four times this year.

He’s not a reed in the wind, he’s a problem solver, and he’s about getting the job done. And he’s absolutely willing to take the heat for a tough call.

Upwards of five million Americans will be stuck at home over the coming days.

Companies have been offering childcare benefits of many different types, not only to align with hybrid schedules, but also to attract workers regardless of their office schedules.

There definitely is a job seeker shortage, you've got all these jobs in the market, but nobody really applying for them.

The report may also provide further evidence that labor shortages are putting upward pressure on wage growth.

The core PCE decline reflects some big collapses in the prices of a limited number of the most-affected services.

This may in turn be part of the reason why jobless claims have soared so rapidly in recent weeks.